Cambados vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
CAM
4 - 4
SDM
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAM
30%
31%
39%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
CAM
3 - 1
VIV
45%
29%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
BUR
1 - 0
CAM
37%
29%
34%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
CAM
1 - 1
GON
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
LAL
1 - 2
ARO
43%
29%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 0
EST
63%
23%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARO
34%
29%
37%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 0
XOV
65%
22%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
BER
1 - 0
ARO
33%
30%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |