Xinabajul vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
7º
19
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 2
XIN
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
XIN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 1
CHI
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 2
XIN
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
IZT
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
MIX
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
2 - 2
TOR
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
SLC
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |