Xilvar vs Algaida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PDS
1 - 1
XIL
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
XIL
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
XIL
1 - 1
SSA
31%
21%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
XIL
2 - 4
SIN
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SHO
3 - 1
XIL
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 4
ESP
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 1
SIN
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PCR
0 - 2
ALG
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 1
PLA
67%
18%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALG
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |