Xerxes vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 2
XER
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
XER
0 - 0
NIE
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
XER
4 - 0
NIV
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
XER
5 - 3
ASW
69%
18%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STE
0 - 4
XER
18%
21%
62%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
RVV
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
HEI
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 2
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HOE
2 - 1
EXC
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 4
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |