Xermade vs Ed Lourenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VDO
1 - 3
XER
35%
25%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
XER
3 - 2
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 6
XER
26%
22%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
XER
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
XER
0 - 0
CAN
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ed Lourenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
GUI
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
LOU
44%
21%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
IBE
72%
15%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MEI
1 - 2
LOU
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
ABA
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |