WV-HEDW vs JOS Watergraafsmeer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
13º
57
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WV-HEDW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SWI
3 - 1
HED
58%
21%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HED
1 - 3
HUI
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
HED
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HED
6 - 0
SJC
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +3 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DHS
2 - 2
HED
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
JOS Watergraafsmeer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JOS
3 - 4
ARC
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PUR
0 - 0
JOS
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 2
SVH
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 4
JOS
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JOS
2 - 1
HOL
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |