Würzburger Kickers vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ING
1 - 1
WUR
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
186
0 - 1
WUR
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
WUR
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
WUR
4 - 1
HEI
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ILL
0 - 0
NUR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ILL
2 - 3
BAY
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 1
ILL
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 3
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 4
ILL
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |