Würzburger FV vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMB
0 - 0
WUR
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 2
WUR
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
0 - 0
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
WUR
2 - 0
AHA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
5 - 3
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
ERB
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
4 - 3
AUB
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 0
ERB
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 2
AMM
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |