Würzburger FV vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
WUR
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
ERB
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMB
0 - 0
WUR
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 2
WUR
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
SEL
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
AUB
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 1
BAY
33%
24%
42%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 1
AMM
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |