Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
77.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
WSA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SPR
2 - 0
WSA
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
STL
3 - 0
WSA
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
WSA
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
WSA
2 - 2
KOK
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 0
THU
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
THU
3 - 3
KOK
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
THU
3 - 3
STL
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
THU
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 4
THU
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |