Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
67%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
WSA
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
WSA
2 - 1
SPR
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
WSA
0 - 4
THU
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
KCB
2 - 0
WSA
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KCB
1 - 0
WSA
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
THU
3 - 1
KCB
77%
14%
8%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
THU
5 - 1
KCB
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
THU
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
THU
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |