Manitoba vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
WSA
1 - 2
CFC
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
8%
18%
74%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
CFC
4 - 0
WSA
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
STL
5 - 0
WSA
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
KCF
4 - 1
WSA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
THU
0 - 3
DES
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
STL
0 - 2
DES
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
KCF
1 - 2
DES
20%
20%
61%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
STL
1 - 4
DES
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
DES
3 - 0
WSA
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |