Manitoba vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
7%
16%
77%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
WSA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SPR
2 - 0
WSA
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
STL
3 - 0
WSA
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
WSA
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SPR
1 - 1
DES
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
STL
1 - 0
DES
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
WSA
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
DES
1 - 3
CLE
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | +1 |