Manitoba vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
0 - 4
THU
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
1 - 1
SPR
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
WSA
87%
10%
4%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
WSA
87%
10%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SPR
5 - 2
WSA
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
STL
1 - 5
DES
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
DES
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DES
0 - 0
SPR
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
WSA
87%
10%
4%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |