Wrexham AFC vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
WRE
0 - 2
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WYC
1 - 1
WRE
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
2 - 1
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
COL
3 - 1
WRE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
QPR
1 - 0
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 3
SWI
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
0 - 3
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |