Wrexham AFC vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
WRE
3 - 1
SCU
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
PNE
1 - 0
WRE
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
WRE
1 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CAM
3 - 4
WRE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
WRE
0 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
REA
0 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
REA
2 - 0
BRO
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
BUR
3 - 0
REA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
REA
1 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
OXF
1 - 3
REA
32%
25%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |