Wrexham AFC vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 1
WRE
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
WRE
2 - 2
TRA
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 2
WRE
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WRE
2 - 3
EAS
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
WRE
0 - 0
GRI
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 3
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
GUI
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |