Wrexham AFC vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 1
WRE
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WRE
0 - 1
ALF
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
WRE
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 4
WRE
21%
28%
52%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WRE
1 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 0
GAT
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 0
GRI
25%
27%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 2
KID
51%
23%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
GRI
28%
26%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 1
GRI
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |