National League Round 37

Wrexham AFC vs Gateshead analysis

Wrexham AFC Gateshead
47 ELO 53
-4.5% Tilt -6.7%
953º General ELO ranking 4286º
Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Wrexham AFC
25.7%
Draw
42.6%
Gateshead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.6%
Win probability
Gateshead
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wrexham AFC
+4%
-5%
Gateshead

ELO progression

Wrexham AFC
Gateshead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
BRA
Braintree Town
1 - 2
Wrexham AFC
WRE
45%
27%
28%
47 49 2 0
25 Feb. 2017
SOL
Solihull Moors
0 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
54%
23%
23%
46 48 2 +1
18 Feb. 2017
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 2
Aldershot Town
ALD
41%
26%
33%
48 50 2 -2
11 Feb. 2017
DOV
Dover Athletic
1 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
66%
19%
15%
48 53 5 0
04 Feb. 2017
WRE
Wrexham AFC
3 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
50%
25%
25%
47 46 1 +1

Matches

Gateshead
Gateshead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
GAT
Gateshead
1 - 0
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
46%
24%
30%
52 52 0 0
21 Feb. 2017
YOR
York City
1 - 3
Gateshead
GAT
27%
26%
47%
51 44 7 +1
18 Feb. 2017
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
33%
25%
42%
50 56 6 +1
11 Feb. 2017
CHE
Chester
1 - 2
Gateshead
GAT
41%
25%
34%
50 46 4 0
04 Feb. 2017
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 0
Southport
SOU
65%
20%
15%
50 44 6 0