Wrexham AFC vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WRE
2 - 0
ALD
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WEA
0 - 0
WRE
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SCU
1 - 3
WRE
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WRE
3 - 0
OLD
80%
13%
6%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
WRE
1 - 0
MAI
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
FAR
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
DAR
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
EAS
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 2
FAR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |