Wrexham AFC vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 0
WRE
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WRE
0 - 0
ALT
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
YOR
2 - 1
WRE
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
WRE
1 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
WRE
0 - 1
SWI
20%
24%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
ALT
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
HAY
1 - 0
AFC
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
STE
0 - 0
AFC
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
AFC
5 - 0
HAY
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |