Worthing vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
WOR
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
FOL
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 1
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
LEA
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
WOR
29%
23%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
BOG
24%
23%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
WIN
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 0
WIN
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
BOW
34%
24%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 0
EAS
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |