Worthing vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 0
WOR
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 1
MER
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
4 - 1
HOR
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 1
WHI
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
WOR
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
6 - 3
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOO
1 - 0
HER
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
RAM
39%
26%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |