Workington vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BUX
3 - 2
WOR
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 2
GAI
26%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 2
SOU
10%
18%
73%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIT
2 - 0
WOR
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 1
MIC
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 2
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MIC
1 - 1
LAN
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 1
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 2
HED
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |