Workington vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 1
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 3
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAU
0 - 1
WOR
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GAI
2 - 0
WOR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 1
COR
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 2
TOW
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TOW
2 - 1
GAI
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
VAU
0 - 1
TOW
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TOW
0 - 0
HAL
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HIS
4 - 0
TOW
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |