Workington vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
BOS
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
OXF
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 0
WOR
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
WOR
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
TOW
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
GUI
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BOS
1 - 2
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |