Workington vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
5 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
HYD
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 1
WOR
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
4 - 0
RAM
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 0
WOR
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
WES
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
STO
2 - 3
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 3
BAR
50%
23%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |