Workington vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HYD
1 - 2
WOR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 2
ALF
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
WOR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 0
VAU
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIN
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALF
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 2
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
HUC
0 - 1
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
HYD
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NUN
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |