Wörgl vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
6º
7º
17
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
28 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 13 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
WOR
18%
19%
64%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 3
WAT
43%
23%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
WOR
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
10%
15%
74%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 1
WAT
12%
16%
73%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
KUN
38%
23%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KUN
2 - 2
FUG
12%
17%
71%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
10%
15%
74%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
HAL
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |