Wörgl vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
19
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
IMS
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
WOR
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
TEL
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
REI
0 - 2
WOR
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 3
FUG
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
KUN
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
5 - 1
KUN
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KUF
3 - 0
KUN
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
KUN
0 - 0
KIT
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KUN
1 - 1
MOT
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |