Wörgl vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
6º
7º
26
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
28 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 13 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
KUN
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
WOR
18%
19%
64%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 3
WAT
43%
23%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
WOR
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 3
KIT
16%
20%
65%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
KUN
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
HAL
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 0
KIT
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |