Wörgl vs Gratkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
KAP
3 - 0
WOR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
WOR
2 - 2
LAS
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
ALT
1 - 1
WOR
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 4
RIE
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
UNT
0 - 2
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Gratkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
GKN
0 - 2
LBN
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
RIE
2 - 0
GKN
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
GKN
4 - 2
SCA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
FCK
4 - 0
GKN
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
GKN
0 - 0
KAP
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |