Wörgl vs Bad Bleiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SCA
3 - 2
WOR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
UNT
1 - 1
WOR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
WOR
2 - 0
LAS
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
LBN
4 - 0
WOR
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
WOR
5 - 2
MAT
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
BBL
1 - 2
LAS
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 2
BBL
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
BBL
1 - 1
UNT
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
MAT
3 - 1
BBL
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
BBL
2 - 1
LBN
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |