Worcester Raiders vs Hereford Lads Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.3%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
1.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WRF
3 - 2
BEL
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PTC
0 - 0
WRF
8%
13%
78%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
WRF
3 - 2
RED
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LYD
1 - 6
WRF
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 5
WRF
6%
12%
83%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Hereford Lads Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SHT
3 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
HPF
0 - 0
HER
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 4
FAI
11%
16%
73%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HER
3 - 5
LYD
23%
21%
56%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |