Worcester City vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
KET
2 - 1
WOR
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WOR
2 - 1
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
DRO
2 - 3
WOR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
2 - 1
ALT
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
VAU
2 - 2
WOR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
RUN
0 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
RUN
0 - 2
NUN
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
TOW
1 - 0
RUN
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GAI
2 - 3
RUN
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
RUN
2 - 0
KET
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |