Worcester City vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 1
WOR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
HIS
1 - 5
WOR
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 1
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
VAU
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HYD
2 - 1
WOR
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 0
BIS
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 0
BOS
36%
28%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 1
NUN
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
NUN
0 - 0
GLO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NUN
1 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |