FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 1-3
Worcester City vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DAV
0 - 1
WOR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FYL
4 - 2
WOR
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
SAL
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 0
STO
22%
27%
51%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
WOR
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
KID
1 - 1
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 3
LIN
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
3 - 3
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
STO
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SLA
2 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |