Wolves vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 5
WOL
6%
12%
82%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 2
WOL
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
WOL
6 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 7
WOL
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
WOL
3 - 3
QUE
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 1
EAS
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CAP
5 - 2
LOG
71%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 3
ROC
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
QUE
3 - 0
LOG
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 7
WOL
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -2 |