Wolves vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
OPA
0 - 0
WOL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
WOL
2 - 3
BBU
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1990 |
WOL
1 - 0
MID
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
HUL
1 - 2
WOL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
NOT
1 - 1
WOL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
HUL
2 - 1
NEW
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
NEW
1 - 1
WBA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
NEW
1 - 3
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
IPS
2 - 1
NEW
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
OXF
0 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |