Wittenhorst vs Nemelaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
11º
24
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wittenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NUE
5 - 0
WIT
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 1
SCK
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
WIT
3 - 0
VEN
27%
22%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 0
WIT
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WIT
0 - 4
EVV
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NEM
3 - 4
HAL
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JUL
5 - 1
NEM
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GOE
3 - 1
NEM
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 3
ORI
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 3
NEM
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |