Bidvest Wits vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
PIR
0 - 0
BID
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BID
2 - 0
SAN
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SWA
0 - 0
BID
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
THA
3 - 2
BID
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BLO
2 - 0
BID
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 0
GOL
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SSU
1 - 0
FRE
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRE
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 4
FRE
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 3
PIR
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |