Wismut Gera vs Barleben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ILE
1 - 2
WIS
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
WIS
3 - 1
VFL
83%
11%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 0
WIS
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
WIS
2 - 2
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 3
WIS
13%
16%
71%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Barleben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
BAR
5 - 0
BSC
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
ILE
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VFL
1 - 1
BAR
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 3
BIS
14%
22%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
BAR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |