Non League Div One Northern East. Jor. 17

Winterton Rangers FC vs Newton Aycliffe analysis

Winterton Rangers FC Newton Aycliffe
22 ELO 35
-0.1% Tilt -0.5%
10459º General ELO ranking 7167º
623º Country ELO ranking 345º
ELO win probability
21.3%
Winterton Rangers FC
20.8%
Draw
57.9%
Newton Aycliffe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
Winterton Rangers FC
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.9%
Win probability
Newton Aycliffe
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Winterton Rangers FC
+10%
-1%
Newton Aycliffe

Points and table prediction

Winterton Rangers FC
Their league position
Newton Aycliffe
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
14º
20º
19º
60
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hebburn Town
81
84
100%
Stockton Town
80
80
100%
Dunston UTS
72
72
100%
Pontefract Collieries
70
70
100%
Carlton Town
65
65
100%
Newton Aycliffe
60
60
100%
Belper Town FC
57
57
38%
North Ferriby United
57
57
38%
Cleethorpes Town
56
56
58%
Liversedge
10º
51
55
10º
58%
Grimsby Borough
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Consett AFC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Sheffield FC
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ashington AFC
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Stocksbridge Park Steels
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Bridlington Town
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Brighouse Town
17º
36
36
17º
16%
Ossett United
18º
35
35
18º
57%
Winterton Rangers FC
19º
35
35
19º
67%
Grantham Town
20º
34
34
20º
67%
Expected probabilities
Winterton Rangers FC
Newton Aycliffe
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Winterton Rangers FC
Newton Aycliffe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Winterton Rangers FC
Winterton Rangers FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
WIN
Winterton Rangers FC
2 - 3
North Ferriby United
NOR
31%
22%
47%
24 31 7 0
27 Jan. 2024
WIN
Winterton Rangers FC
2 - 1
Grimsby Borough
GBO
28%
23%
49%
23 33 10 +1
13 Jan. 2024
CAR
Carlton Town
2 - 1
Winterton Rangers FC
WIN
71%
17%
12%
24 36 12 -1
06 Jan. 2024
WIN
Winterton Rangers FC
2 - 2
Hebburn Town
HEB
23%
22%
55%
23 36 13 +1
30 Dec. 2023
BRI
Bridlington Town
2 - 0
Winterton Rangers FC
WIN
56%
22%
23%
24 30 6 -1

Matches

Newton Aycliffe
Newton Aycliffe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
OUF
Ossett United
0 - 4
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
13%
18%
68%
35 20 15 0
27 Jan. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
1 - 2
Belper Town FC
BEL
63%
19%
18%
36 30 6 -1
13 Jan. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
2 - 0
Liversedge
LIV
56%
21%
23%
35 33 2 +1
09 Jan. 2024
PON
Pontefract Collieries
0 - 2
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
43%
23%
34%
35 34 1 0
06 Jan. 2024
GBO
Grimsby Borough
2 - 0
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
29%
22%
49%
37 30 7 -2
X