Winterthur vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 0
WIN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 1
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LAU
0 - 2
WIN
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 2
LUG
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
LUG
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |