Winterthur vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 4
THU
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCG
1 - 2
WIN
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
0 - 0
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LAU
3 - 0
WIN
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TUG
1 - 3
WIN
25%
21%
55%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAU
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
KRI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
BIE
65%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
YVE
1 - 1
LUG
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
GCZ
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |