Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
YVE
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIN
39%
25%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
THU
2 - 4
WIN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 4
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
KRI
0 - 5
FCA
10%
17%
74%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |