Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FCV
2 - 0
WIN
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIN
23%
22%
56%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KRI
2 - 3
WIN
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 0
THU
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCA
2%
5%
92%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 3
FCV
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |