Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 0
BIE
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 0
WIN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 1
FCV
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LOC
4 - 1
WIN
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
5 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
YVE
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 0
WIN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |