Challenge League Relegation Play-offs Round 11

Winterthur vs Etoile Carouge analysis

Winterthur Etoile Carouge
66 ELO 67
13.6% Tilt -9%
675º General ELO ranking 1150º
14º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
54.3%
Winterthur
24.1%
Draw
21.6%
Etoile Carouge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
Winterthur
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Win probability
Etoile Carouge
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Winterthur
+9%
-11%
Etoile Carouge

ELO progression

Winterthur
Etoile Carouge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Winterthur
Winterthur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2000
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
64%
20%
16%
66 60 6 0
06 May. 2000
SOL
Solothurn
1 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
37%
27%
37%
66 58 8 0
29 Apr. 2000
WIN
Winterthur
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
49%
24%
28%
65 69 4 +1
22 Apr. 2000
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
69%
18%
13%
65 69 4 0
16 Apr. 2000
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 0
Solothurn
SOL
68%
19%
13%
65 58 7 0

Matches

Etoile Carouge
Etoile Carouge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2000
ETO
Etoile Carouge
1 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
42%
26%
32%
67 67 0 0
06 May. 2000
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 1
Etoile Carouge
ETO
59%
23%
18%
67 70 3 0
28 Apr. 2000
ETO
Etoile Carouge
0 - 0
Stade Nyonnais
STA
61%
22%
17%
67 59 8 0
20 Apr. 2000
STA
Stade Nyonnais
3 - 1
Etoile Carouge
ETO
39%
26%
34%
68 58 10 -1
15 Apr. 2000
ETO
Etoile Carouge
1 - 0
SC Kriens
KRI
44%
27%
30%
68 70 2 0