Winterthur U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+111%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
9º
8º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 1
WNT
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WNT
0 - 0
FCZ
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STG
1 - 3
WNT
41%
21%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 1
WNT
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WNT
6 - 0
NXA
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 4
YNB
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NXA
1 - 1
FCT
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 3
TMA
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
7 - 1
FCT
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
5 - 1
TTC
62%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |